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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 25, 2021 3:13:37 GMT
That was a doozy. Seal, if / when you read this after the game, I really am sorry. But butterfly was someone that was in with me as well, so it was just an unlucky break. If the plan had formed with more time left and we could have shifted to Lion I would have been thrilled and you'd still be alive, but I didn't tell you soon enough and it sucks.
Ideally now I make things ironclad between myself and Cat, Butterfly, Snowy, Frog, Kestrel, and Capybara, forming the majority. I don't believe the terrestria members know I'm against them, I think Lion still thinks he has me in his pocket. Lion or Hedgehog should be the first to go, and if they both win immunity, then we do Rat. Eagle and Rat are close so I don't think he should be involved.
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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 25, 2021 7:34:13 GMT
In the latest strange development, Lion apparently wants to set up a 3-person chat between me, him, and Cat. Why he thinks he can trust Cat, whose closest ally he just insisted on voting out, is beyond me, but it'll be a weird little charade in there.
Also, since I didn't say so in an actual confessional post yet, I gave the idol paper to Seal and he gave the completed fake idol to Lion before he was voted out. Since it's the same paper that he already saw played back at the Moth vote, there's a decent chance he'll suspect that it's fake, but if he doesn't realize, plays it and goes home... I can't think of a sweeter way to avenge Seal.
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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 25, 2021 19:55:22 GMT
... There's a whole lot of whatever the hell Seal sent us all to discuss, and assumptions to relationships surrounding a coalition Hedgehog has told me you were potentially trying to form. oh shit, don't like that. Wait wait, maybe he just means my old trinity force thing. I hope so. Ok, panic averted.
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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 26, 2021 2:03:41 GMT
So basically three out of four of Bunny/Rat/Lion/Hedgehog actually voted for Snowy and are telling me otherwise. I'm going to play dumb and let them think I still believe that they voted Seal with me; my earlier derp moments hopefully help my case here! I'm pretty sure Rat/Lion/Hedgehog see me as kind of dumb, controllable, but expendable. Hopefully by the end of the game I'll show that I'm none of those things.
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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 26, 2021 7:06:21 GMT
I think Frog and Snowy are being set up to be the head-to-head candidates for next tribal, and I don't want that. It's too easy for them to divide us, we can't let the people with actual power just coast through the game forever. Gah, but my relationship with Frog is so broken that it's hard to put back together, it's worse than Humpty Dumpty. Is there an award (or badge of shame) for Best Worst Alliance? I think we might win it.
Unfortunately this might still be too early to try anything. 12 is so many people still. If the target is Snowy then I have no choice, but if it's Frog then I guess I have to let it happen, again.
Capybara is barely here, so I have no idea who he's close to besides Frog; if Frog goes, hopefully Capy won't side with the people who decided Frog should go in the first place.
Kestrel and Eagle will probably ride the middle in safety for as long as possible, which is an enviable position to be in. They can probably be used to get out whoever the primary threat(s) are, but they'd just as quickly jump ship the next vote. And obviously if you threaten them they can just go to the other side again. They can thrive in an us-vs-them setup like is forming here, because we'd need both sides to work together to safely get one of them out...
...maybe we should just go for them soon? Sure, everyone can use their vote, but there are still a lot of people left in the game, and who can really trust them? If they're both gone we'd be at 10 (or 9 if Frog/Capy is out too), and 6 or 5 would be enough to control the vote - me, snowy, butterfly, cat, remainder of Frog/Capy would do it. Hell, that group plus even one of the terrestria squad would be enough to force a bird out. This does admittedly give Frog a lot of power, but my four is solid and four is pretty decent size at those numbers.
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Post by Bitter Poisonpie on Apr 26, 2021 8:05:59 GMT
Which players would you most like to be up against at a final tribal council? Which players would you least like to?
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Post by Staphylococcus #489 on Apr 26, 2021 11:54:07 GMT
More importantly, are you single?
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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 26, 2021 20:27:41 GMT
Who to be up against? Well, I swore final three with Snowy and Butterfly and currently at least I wouldn't mind going against them at the end. I figure I would have at least an even chance of winning, since for the upcoming part of the game we'll have gotten all the same people out, and the fact that this is my first game might even get me some 'sympathy' votes. If I end up needing to break the promise, Capybara would take one of their spots hands down, he's just not around and if that doesn't change then I can't see him getting any votes.
I am single actually. Dating bacteria could be possible, but I must admit I'm old fashioned and haven't really thought about dating someone who multiplies rapidly before. I think I'd be willing to give it a try and see how it goes, but no promises.
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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 28, 2021 0:07:38 GMT
Did not expect to get split into two tribes here, bravo mods! I feel like I would have to screw up pretty spectacularly to go home from the split I got, so I'm lucky. More thoughts in a bit, hopefully.
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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 28, 2021 0:31:25 GMT
First off, new avatars are 10/10 except for Rat, who is 12/10. Who even does that
I legit feel safe on this little tribe, but that's a dangerous thing. Advantages could easily show up here, or people could realize that I have (I think) working relationships with at least 4 of the 5 other people and start seeing me as dangerous like they see Butterfly and Lion. Don't want that to happen, obviously.
Choice of who goes is I think between Kestrel and Rat. Bunny and Rat are pretty close, so he wouldn't like it if my three + kestrel got him. Meanwhile, I just trust Kestrel about as little as I do Rat, and he's in that coveted floater spot (or was before we un-merged). Kestrel might be the 'safe' play, but it could well be the wrong play... need to think more about it.
Especially because I have no clue who will go from the OTHER tribe. Butterfly is safe, but it really could be any of the others depending on who he goes with. Lion or Hedgehog going would be pretty A+, and anything else would be like a C or B- at best.
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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 28, 2021 7:26:24 GMT
Remember when I said I felt safe? That was before I remembered that idols exist. Definitely don't feel safe, not at all.
Choices are still between Rat and Kestrel, and apparently Butterfly drafted the other tribe specifically to kill Frog. That's acceptable I suppose; it frees up Capybara's vote, and it's one conversation that is awkward at minimum that I won't have to continue; it would have been cool to still work together despite it appearing insane to everyone else in the game, just for their reactions later when it turns out yes, we were somehow allies. And there is a chance he has an item, the guy was loaded with acorns, so he might still live.
Back to our tribe, Frog being the presumptive vote at least gives clarity. Bunny, I think, feels he has Rat with him, or at least has him more than Lion and Hedgehog do. And I definitely feel like I have Snowy and Cat on my side (if I don't, I'm probably gone this round). I have to decide who's more likely to work with the "other side." Said side has Lion and Hedgehog definitely, and worst-case has Butterfly too. It sure would help if I had any clue who Kestrel liked, but I haven't heard anything from anyone about it. Rat I at least know likes Bunny and Eagle, as well as Lion and Hedgehog for the short term. Ugh... how does anyone make these decisions with a clear head on a goddamn island?
Bunny says that if I can get the votes, he'll vote whoever I want. Aside from putting all credit/blame on me, I have to hope he's not just tricking me into giving away my target and then leaking that info for an item play. I don't feel like I really have much other choice though, because I don't want to lose either of Snowy or Cat and I don't trust Rat or Kestrel not to tell everyone who I'm voting for. Basically, if he's against me I'm screwed anyways, so I might as well just assume he's with me and plan for that.
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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 28, 2021 21:18:17 GMT
Aaaaand I was right to fear, because my name is the other option, again. Clearly I'm too assertive with my opinions in these small tribes, or I just take the bait too easily. From what I gather, Bunny has no intention of voting Kestrel with me and spins it like I was forcing the vote on him, when that's not true at all! I would gladly vote Rat instead. I have two solid allies here, but the one other person I tried to pull in stabbed me in the back, and now I could be in big trouble.
My hopes are that Kestrel will vote Rat with me, but the likelihood of that doesn't seem too good. Please, vote differently than Bunny, who refused to vote you. So this is probably a 3v3 tie, and then like hell do I know what will happen. Kestrel might flip to Rat on the revote, but odds are higher of my guys drawing the rock than not, and they might cut me loose with that in mind.
If I go, at least I went out trying to play the game and making mistakes rather than by just being someone nobody cared about. I may well be on the jury soon. At least I'll get to hang out with Seal again.
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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 29, 2021 0:08:32 GMT
I maybe go home
Kestrel and Rat dubious
Bunny is so sketch
-Haiku, Sloth 2021
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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 29, 2021 0:34:09 GMT
God I wish I could turn this around on Bunny right now, but I can't because he's immune and I have no idol. This is his kill, no question about that.
Rat mentioned that Endangered might not be the Jury, that it could be Redemption or something like it. I hadn't even thought about it before but that's possible. So maybe I won't be joining the Jury tonight, but I don't know. 30 minutes to find out.
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Post by Three-toed Sloth on Apr 29, 2021 0:47:34 GMT
Rat did tell me that people really respect me, so that's heartwarming at least. You never really know what people think of you in this game, so hearing that it's mostly good is very reassuring to me and my neurotic mind.
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