Chapter 4: I feel sorry for Dis Bear.

Welcome back to TC, friends! So, here's my line of thought:



- We are [almost] for sure swapping after this.

- Mongoose and Hedgehog are [once again] off the table.

- This leave Dog, Anglerfish, and Genet.



In regards to other TCs:



- Aquatica's voting off an Aquatica. No questions there, they have no choice.

- Aeria will likely vote off Axolotl, in the event to keep numbers strong before the inevitable swap.

- If we vote off Dog, tribes look like [7 Us] [6 Aeria] [5 Aquatica]

- If we vote off Genet, tribes look like [6 Us] [7 Aeria] [5 Aquatica]

- If we vote off Anglerfish, tribes look like this [7 Us] [7 Aeria] [4 Aquatica]



At least to me, the question is on Genet vs. Anglerfish, and with Axolotl almost for sure out of the picture and only 4 other Aquatica in the game, the value of having Anglerfish on the field to buy us into Aquatica diminishes greatly.



Meanwhile, Genet has marginal utility in the swap as a vote for whoever we'd want basically for sure, and can be used as an effective sacrifice on the swap.



I'm not against either, but I think I prefer an Anglerfish vote here.

So I'm going to be hard to reach tonight, have very important business in the morning. While agree with the 3 options I disagree wholeheartedly with the conclusion.



I feel like Dog is being dismissed as an option with little to no reasoning for why? Like dog seems to have very little to no knowledge of his old tribe and frankly, I doubt his ability to survive in a swap without us bringing him through from what I've seen. Allies that can't survive a swap are bad allies. Not to mention sticking with dog puts us in a defacto adversarial relation with Aeria due to dogs relation with them.



Meanwhile Anglerfish has been coorperative, has a clear idea on the dynamics of their old tribe and didn't burn any bridges. They seem to be friendly but would probably still be loyal to us over the people who voted them out. Like that's an ally that can probably last and give good reads overall. In a world where Anglerfish is here and we end up with an alliance with them well...that 7/6 and 5 others....that's ALWAYS more than half the game which is what we need if we want to dominate the swap. We need allies on the other tribes not enemies. Ofc I also just believe that Anglerfish is a stronger player and thus better to have in a swap.



Personally I like Genet and if she's actually more active she'll be a very good boon for us in a swap based upon her social skills, if she's inactive well, she can be sacrificed. I don't see a downside.



I just don't see the utility in Dog as an ally aside from as a shield, but if y'all have had better relations that can change my mind, go ahead.

Ooooohhhhh I LOVE Brick. Brick was one of my friend's favorite movies, I've seen it so many times. I will say I first watched it in highschool and it took me...until the end of the movie to know what a brick was because my dumb sheltered ass thought it was a literal brick. So that watch I didn't love it and then I rewatched it with said friend and was like oh wait no this is awesome!